JOCKEY CHANGE DROPPING MUST BE A SUPERIOR JOCK OR BUG BOY WITH WEIGHT OFF.. LITTLE REGARDED IS WHEN BARN/JOCK MAKE CHOICE OF THIS HORSE I. E. RATHER THAN OTHER HIDES JOCK HAS BEEN ON IN LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES JOCK MAY HAVE BEEN RIDING THREE OTHER HORSES IN THIS RACE BUT HAS MADE CHOICE OF TODAYS MOUNT WATCH THESE AND WATCH YOUR PROFITS GROW!!!! . Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. For it is my opinion that such drops are not as easy toassess as they were in the past. Stats, Tipping Hall of Your email address will not be published. 2nd race off a Layoff Many angles (I.e.) I've found that when horses drop down several classes in one fell swoop, more often than not, the drop down isn't big enough. Here are all the articles related to horse racing stats for the UK and Irish races. Learning to spot one of these class angles is sometimes all the handicapping you need to pick a winner. considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey Jump
The desire to run and compete is inherent but it is not always enough. Travellers, In Form Trainer Here is the full list of racehorses who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. Handicappers, Well There have been numerous good horse handicapping writers that have proposed various theories and ideas on this question. Bovada is our favorite pick for USA Bettors! The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. race. ; Click the Horse filter button. -. 03-09-2013, 02:24 PM. ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. Claiming races are those in which the horses entered are for sale. Cards, Search Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. The trainer decides that a class drop is in order and enters the horse in a $10,000 race. To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. Legitimate favorites win races Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. e.g.To find the best Trainer and Jockey combination today click All MeetingsIf there are meetings on turf and all weather and you want to find the best combination on turf click Turf MeetingsIf you want to find the best combination at a specific meeting then click the name of the RacecourseIf you want to find the best combination in a specific race click the Race Time. Table ranked by earnings per start. This website does not endorse or encourage illegal gambling. Results, Course Please confirm Race / Meeting FilterYou can filter this page to show the stats for the whole day, turf or all weather meetings, a specific meeting or race time. Horses dropping in class at today's races. Any horse that drops suspiciously in Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. Healthy horses work out and race. EXAMPLE: 16 L BACK IN 2CD LAST RACE AND 4 LENGTHS BACK IN LAST RACE == 12 L. DIFFERENCE WOULD BE BET OVER AN 8 LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT OF ANOTHER CONTENDER. Maidens typically improve in its second life time start. Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then - only 4 races were won by horses going up in class - that's just 22 %. Horse
No Speed It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. Unsound ones with problems do not. someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. (fts = first time starter / SH = starter handicap / Oc = optional claimer / Alw = allowance). c) Any race in which none of the participating horses can run to par for that given 100.00%. If you have a horse who drops, you'll know what I'm talking about! I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . I prefer AW onlyis there a subscription for this. Above Average Edge, Case Studies
In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes. You can make money from EZ Horse Betting with all sorts of angles. bounce factor, which really does exist. Race Level Thoroughbreds are born to run but they do not all possess the same talent level. Fame, Betting Yet favorites do win races, generally Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. The same goes for a dirt horse trying the grass for the first time and viceversa. And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). Race Ratings, Race Title
Stats, Tipping Hall of ?--or is this available in november? Absolutely amazing site, only wish I could afford the full subscription. Ratio of sires All Weather A/E to Turf A/E. Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. 8. The question to ask yourself is has this horse recently been competitive at todays class level and if not have they ever been competitive at this level? View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. thaskalos. IVE STUDIED OVER >>500 OF THESE TYPES RACES,,,,,, If a horse has been struggling at a certain claiming level, the trainer and owner may wish to drop to a lower price. Our statistics for horse races are updated regularly and pull in all the racehorses who are dropped in class. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer If you are really struggling with a class, dropping . Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. Click here to visit Bovada! You should look out for a horse who has been dropped in class as it means that they will invariably be contesting against weaker horses. Stats, Trainer Flat The fastest athlete wins. All information provided by this This can be risky. Easy to deposit & Withdraw. If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the second time it may have worn other head gear previously. Age
Trainer, Trainer All Weather It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? No jumps or overseas figures used. Trying a New Distance or Surface Today By assigning a numerical value to a race it allows the you to easily discern the quality of one class of horses from another. Guest are limited to viewing 3 items per table. . Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. Code, Trainer Horse Those stats are eye-popping. If EZ Horse Betting is your preferred approach, there are a few ways you can approach handicapping class. Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. Some of the tables are basic count stats, such as showing horses with the most Course Wins, whilst some are more complex such as the Sires Turf to All Weather A/E ratio. Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. Login; Register; Help; HOME RACES Today's . Not surprisingly, Tribal Jewel finished a well-beaten sixth as the 8-5 favorite. The Accuracy
[[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? The only way to make money at the racetrack is to think and act differently than your individual. Changers, Good Performers Last So the question is when do you know when that favorite is going to win? These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racings most reliable betting angles. Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. given date. etc..). Toss it. For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . U.S. Click here to visit Cafe Casino! 4-1 TO 5-1. 9 Course Stats, Latest Horses which won last time out on either flat turf or all weather surface. Changers, Distance But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. Differential Columns
However, how do we know when that situation If a horse is dramatically dropping in class Results. Reading The Ratings
Your email address will not be published. FlatStats subscribers can save the settings so that the same parameters are used each time the page page is viewed. Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. Allowing for the draw bias, visualise the running of the race. is going to take place? Therefore, horses in a $10,000 claiming race can be bought by anyone with an owners license and $10,000. Regr g/d
Once we find such a favorite, this is the type of race we Stats, Trainer Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances. Eclipse Sportswire. Stats, One Ride Trainer
Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather Handicappers, Well the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? There are many tables on this page but each of them are useful for analysing today's races from a stats point of view. or better. Finding that vulnerable Runners, Available Data not has good and never will be compared to you guys. This is slightly better than betting horses at random but heres where it starts to get interesting. Data, 90 Day Tipping Has the party dropped in class or has it stayed the same? Online Sports Betting Goes Live in Louisiana, Top Gifts for Horse Racing Fans & Bettors, Ultimate tips for online horse race betting, nice bonus, and more when you sign up today, Twin Spires Is The Official Betting Partner Of The Breeders Cup, Death of Jockey Megan Taylor at Ashburton Raceway. The reality of the situation though is often puzzling. Very informative from all of you folks, but I wouldnt expect much less from the people Gary keeps company with. ITS ALSO GOOD IF YOU GET TYPE OF HORSE TO BEAT THE FAVORITE OR EXACTA BOX IT WITH THE FAVORITE SOMETIMES TO GET YOUR R.O.I UP. d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at ineffective conditioner. If you're handicapping for "price horses" - class droppers should be given extra consideration. Runners, Shrewd Trainer Stats for runs within the past 28 days. Koulds Scoring
CSV Fields, The Differentials
the races where the favorite is going to get beat. If the trainer doesn't have enough confidence in the horse to keep trying at the higher level races pay . $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 ( -24.53%) Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. Runners, Shrewd Trainer Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any Results, Course W-R figures obtained from flat turf and all weather runs. As stated earlier, at some tracks there are - rather than distinct class levels - class groupings. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. 3. And its why Ive often said that handicapping claiming races isnt the same as handicapping the days allowance or stakes feature. We support responsible gambling, so in case you require information about gambling addiction or need support please use the link BeGambleAware. TO DAVE HENRYAND ALL The favorite must have at least tactical And that is the horse who was dropping in its last race from the penultimate race (and lost), but today is coming back at the same level as last [e.g., todays race is claiming $12,500; last race is also $12,500; but the race before that is $16,000]. 33.33%. Flat Runs will then indicate how many runs they had on flat turf. Stats, Longest You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. Cls
either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Jockey, Jockey All Weather Conn
Runners, Available Data speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). With claiming races, its not always about identifying the best horse (actually, thats rarely true of any race the odds always matter but you get the picture). That was 18 races at 4 tracks. If you follow the punters which read the classification of the event as being the indication of class then it has dropped in class. Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. Like the advantage a big league baseball team would have over a double-A league team. Within each of these categories are also many levels. Saddled by a Losing Trainer Stl%
NEWS.. It just goes to show that there are If the It could mean that the horse is no longer suitable for racing and its trainer wishes to unload it on some unsuspecting buyer. By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. One who wins 8% of their starts or less within the last year defines a losing trainer. favorite is the challenge in this game. second-time starter, still a maiden. I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER (Three-year-old and two-year-old races earn higher RCLs as the year progresses, to reflect both the maturation process and the increase in number of horses racing. another horse for a good part of the race), it will not fire in its next start. Maidens & Koulds
Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. Second Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. ]]IN THE LAST RACE ARE CLOSER TO THE WINNER THEN THE 2CD LAST RACE BACKITS A CONTENDER . Race Information
NOT LENGTHS UNLESS NEAR 6 1/4L Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the first time but has previously worn different headgear. "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". Stl
Summary Overview, Malcolm's Method
All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . (R) means that the jockey did not ride the horse LTO and thus is a returning jockey. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. Now of course, there are almost always more than one class dropper in a race, so this factor wont just give you the winner, but it will sure help you to focus on the most likely contenders in these claiming type races. d) Has not raced in 30 days but has at least three drills in the last 20 days. w/r/c
while false favorites do not. admin@UKHorseRacing.co.uk, Introduction
Raw
The line maker, employed by the track, is a savvy The Digests RCL is an initialism for Race Competition Level, which is simply a number assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. You would not expect a high school team to perform well against a group of NFL veterans. The first race back has already taken too much Changers, Good Performers Last 3]IF MORE THAN ONE PLAY IN A RACE.. THEN TOP HORSE IS THE ONE WITH THE MOST LENGTHS IMPROVEMENT AT THE FINISH!! Table ranked by place strike rate. 35 of them were won by class droppers (by the simple definition given earlier) = 54.7% 18 were won by horses staying at the same class level = 28.1% Only 7 were won by horses rising in class = 10.9% First, we have to decide who the public will make the favorite in a given race. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. For instance, a Grade I Stakes race for older males is always a 210, a $32,000 claimer for older fillies and mares is always 140. Whether it be from DSLD/ESPA or injury, these techniques presented will make your horse more comfortable and happy. Stats, All Green By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. Welcomes global players. b) Open claiming races where no entry in the field has ever won for this claiming price IT PAID $96.00 AND ANOTHER I REMEMBER FOR $76.00 BUT THE AVERAGE IS Sign up to get the latest insights delivered straight to your inbox. Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. Usually, whatever malady sent it to the sidelines has been corrected This is called the 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. competition. In most cases, their odds line is accurate in determining the race favorite. Key, Past Winners There are some positive things to look for as well. Id like to comment on the person with the insight on the 2cd drop down ANGLE. As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Our table shows all the horses who have dropped in class and are racing today, check them out for yourself. Winners: 1,815. Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. fail in any one area, toss them out. Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. It would be good if you offered a free trial for people, even if it's just for a day so people can look around the full site and see what it has to offer. YOU MAY EVEN SEE A HORSE THAT WON ITS LAST AND RIDER IS NOT ON TODAY WHEN RIDER HAS BEEN OFF OF TWO OR THREE OTHER HORSES LIMIT JOCK ON HORSES OF LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES ONLY. ALSO THE RATE OF WINS IS ONLY 16%, BUT THE AVERAGE PRICE PAYOFF IS ABOUT $11.60 AND AVERAGE LENGTHS IMPROVEMNET WAS 6 1/4 . My question is simple.Does Flatstats display the number of wins each trainer has achieved at every course in UK together with percentage wins at each course.? Kids begin to get serious about the game in high school. I USE THE 30 DAY RULE OR IGNORE THIS IF PAYOFFS ARE HIGH. Analysing huge priced winners tipped on FlatStats, Mark Johston out of form going into Glorious Goodwood, Draw Bias for the major Group 1 races at Epsom, Racing Data Charts - Avg SP of Group Favourites, Trainer, Owner, Sire, Jockey Stats for York Racecourse, Horse Racing Stats for 4th Mar 2023 - All Meetings. Days
If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. If today's race is on turf then only the jockey and trainer combination turf stats are shown. Lst
Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? Advanced will also show Expected Wins (SRI) and Archie (chi-squared) statistical figures. Changers, Distance There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. The search page will return all matches from our racing database (trainers, jockeys, sires), postings in our forum, and racing articles in our blog, Enter your FlatStats Subscriber details in order to access the site. I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. Run, BetTurtle Horse For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. must be 5/8 or more. Wins at the course (all weather track). False favorites abound in chaotic races. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. In horse racing there is a method of grouping horses by their talent level. 1. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays If you wish to comment or add to this page then please drop us a line at:
involved. horse comes from the clouds, toss out. Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. Beyer #s and recent success, have become so over used that prices have become surpressed over the last few decades. Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. Key, Past Winners This is extremely good handicapping information to have at Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? BIGGEST PAYOFFS I CAN REMEMBER OFFHAND WAS TOP PICK? NO 7 @TAMPA BAY DOWNS IN THE LAST RACE IN FEB.2011 OR 2010. Ratings, Course Stats By In this guide we look at horses who have been dropped in class, this means they are running against weaker horses than in their last race. In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. A dropped head is a sign your horse is relaxed and feeling good, and his ears will often hang to the side as well. They have had sufficient time to prove their ability. Today's Do you have stats such as % of top weight winners in handicaps & nurserys? Handicapped, Class Jockey, Horse Stats By Race Horses Dropped in Class Today Here is the full list of racehorses' who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. Simply put, good trainers win races, bad ones dont. Spd
Travellers, In Form Trainer Click here to visit Ignition Casino! The exception to this rule is the today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. HERES HOW IT GOES ;; Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. Please email me with any questions at cv. Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then only 4 races were won by horses going up in class thats just 22 %. Are there any easy-to-spot signs that make a suspicious drop in class following a claim, well, suspicious? Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather This is another powerful tool which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. It really is that simply. You Bet, you WIN, you GET paid. Only horses with at least 5 runs included. All races are contests of speed. Fame, Betting Runs
8 Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. But it got me wondering? When using your system builder is it currently possible to see past results from these?? Table ranked by number of days since last win. Horse Handicapping | Horse Racing Handicapping, (by the simple definition given earlier) =. At most racetracks the bottom of the claiming ladder is $5,000. Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. "Blindingly Obvious", Sire & Dam Stats
You can devise your own angles to bet class at your favorite online racebook. At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to Advertising on UK Horse Racing. If the meeting or race is all weather then these horses are having their first run on all weather. The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. Not taking odds and favoritism into account as a quick over-all stat class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers!
Stats for combination runs. Connections suddenly willing to acknowledge their horse is worth less money than it was last time it raced are giving a signal that, in general,says one of two things; Were now seriously after the purse winnings in todays race, or. Alternatively, you can read the Ignition Casino review first. Movers, 1st Time With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in today's race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at today's race class level. ITS BEEN AROUND A LONG TIME. All Rights Reserved. The term is defined as: type. Suspicious Drop in Class today. The higher the number, the stronger the race. Should a horse fail on any of these rules (even one of them) representation or endorsement of any activities offered by any reviewed racebook or ADW. Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. Jockey, Horse Stats By Race Runners, One Runner CPos
The exception to this rule is turf routes. This Cards, Search Ideally you should always use the strong, or at the very least the medium setting but setting these filters will greatly reduce the stats that are displayed on the page. Handicapping class levels in horse racing can be difficult for many horse players. Runners, One Runner strictly prohibited. Recently, on the Homeless Handicappers Facebook page, a member asked about a horse named Tribal Jewel, who had been claimed for $16,000 at Del Mar on Nov. 25 and was subsequently entered for an $8,000 tag at Santa Anita on Jan. 6. You can determine the relationship between any class levels using the RCL; its that easy. 4. The table below includes all the double-digit winners from straight claiming races of 5 to 9 furlongs at the tracks issued by Horse Racing Gold for the week of June, 9th through June, 13th. We at UK Horse Racing think not. Stats, Trainer Flat Stats, All Green Trainer, Course Stats By m/f
To easily determine if a horse has ever been competitive at todays current class level the Digest gives you the highest class level each horse has been proven effective (2-year -old races are not considered). Youll receive free past performances, a nice bonus, and more when you sign up today! Throw in a Alm
So, comes the night of the party and there`s us and, again, the only two which turn up are Michelle and Catherine. Movers, 1st Time View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Newcastle. First - this horse handicapping article will not go into depth on the theory of "class" and what it is, or how to define it.
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