Gaskin was a revelation versus his cost a year ago but is a buyer beware in 2021. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. While the opportunity is undeniable, it's risky betting on Davis as the answer. If you're optimistic about the Lions running game, take Williams at a deep discount from Swift's highly aspirational price tag. Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB19. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. Gibson has also been struggling with fumbles in training camp, which have drawn the ire of the Commanders coaching staff. Raheem Mostert, San Francisco | Consensus Rankings RB31 | Consensus Projections RB35. NFL's 5 Most Overrated Running Backs No Name August 6, 2011 Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. While Jacobs is capable of a bell-cow role, McDaniels has a long history of maddening running back usage as the Patriots OC. You are better off investing in a more consistent player for your RB2 when you get to the late second or early third round of drafts. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB5. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB22 | Consensus Projections RB24. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB39 | Consensus Projections RB47. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. There are backs going after Chubb who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage. Victoria Geary: Sanders had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). 31 Unsung Running Backs in NFL History By Paul Ladewski on August 3, 2021 Chris O'Meara / AP Photo Before franchise quarterbacks took pro football hostage, there was something known as franchise running backs. This is more important for Barkley than most backs because he relies on his immense gifts more than most backs. 2 fantasy back this year is a dubious decision. Henderson was arguably the best blocking fullback during the late 90s, paving the way for nine 1,000 yard rushers in his 12 years in Green Bay. The additions of Ryan Fitzpatrick, Curtis Samuel, Dyami Brown, and a healthy Antonio Gibson should blunt his numbers and make his season look more like 2020's first half when he averaged 4.7 targets and 3.6 receptions per game instead of his second half when he saw 8.6 targets and 6.1 catches an outing. That has shown to be largely untrue so far in camp as Williams and Gordon have been splitting first-team reps nearly 50-50 until Gordon has missed time with a foot injury. Davis was great in relief of Christian McCaffrey in Carolina last year, but he got tired quickly. Yet, Travis Etienne was drafted in the first round, and Carlos Hyde, who Urban Meyer coached at Ohio State, was signed. With McKissic back taking over passing down duties and Brian Robinson Jr possibly taking over red zone opportunities, Gibson is being overvalued in fantasy drafts. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. His retirement all but guarantees some drop-off in Kamara's receiving numbers regardless of whether Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill is named the Saints starting quarterback. Can he still be fantasy-relevant? This is a major factor in any expectation that Robinson would be fantasy lineup-relevant without an injury to one of the other options, especially beyond the early weeks of the season. That number of targets limited his ceiling, and he was barely a low-end RB2. The team likes fourth-round pick Zamir White and passing down back Ameer Abdullah, and Kenyan Drake is still on the roster, so Jacobs is going to have trouble being consistent enough to merit an every-week RB2 start. Then as soon as they go south, we pile on like kids in a mosh pit? There's zero appeal here. Flick's Package Liquor Inc. PO Box 221 3320 Sterns Rd. The first thing that pops out at us is that Jerome Bettis 3.9 YPC is a good deal lower than the offensive lines mark of 4.29 (ADY). Cohen is strictly limited to passing-down work, and the numbers suggest that he isn't outstanding in that role either. Gibson plays on a bad offense, has rushing competition from Robinson, and receiving competition from McKissic. It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. Dave Kluge: The 49ers drafted Trey Sermon and Elijah Mitchell and signed free agent Wayne Gallman. Avoid. Ryan Hester: This isnt a knock on Harris, whose athletic profile and projected workload are things fantasy players dream of. most overrated running backs of all time. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. His current draft price is almost his upside. The next season he hit bottom with a knee injury that damaged his ACL, MCL, and meniscus. The Ravens have also continued to trust Gus Edwards and have kept the backfield intact as a true timeshare. Jacobs is not the alpha; he's one of many in the Vegas backfield. Gaskin may be the best receiver of the trio, but Ahmed isn't far behind. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. He's as gifted a receiver as he is a runner, which allows him to have huge games regardless of game script. We've seen J.D. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. Martin is one of the best running backs of all time because he blended good ability with outstanding durability and versatility. I am a heretic in that regard. Eric Dickerson 8. Even if he isn't named the Saints' starting quarterback, Hill's continued presence in the red zone and at the goal-line infringes on Kamara's touchdown opportunity. They might be lucky to win three games, which means limited touchdown potential for Johnson and a shortage of run-friendly game scripts. 5. Chad Parsons: Cohen is coming off an injury, and Damien Williams is a notable veteran addition to the depth chart. His knee injury involved multiple ligament tears, and the Giants are likely to bring him along slowly. Now, these guys are treated with all the respect of disposable diapers. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. Before his 2020 campaign, McKissic had never rushed for more than 205 yards in a season. Overall: 98 and 96. Ryan Hester: Short of Taysom Hill (if he wins the job), this whole offense is an avoid for fantasy football right now. Gibson is more likely to lose his job than return a significant profit on his draft price. This likely puts Gibson two injuries away from a full workload, and Robinson is capable of taking away money touches in the redzone as well. So should drafters trust the first 25 games of his career where he was a compiler with minimal ceiling or the final six games against bad defenses in 2020? These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another important key to a successful fantasy team. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. Pat Fitzmaurice: This is the type of player I won't draft at any cost. Scoring at least once in 9 games (16 gms total) yields a 56% chance of a score in each game. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup Terrell Davis, Edgerrin James, Reggie Bush, Rashard Mendenhall, Jamaal Charles, and recently, Dalvin Cook all took over a season of play to return to form if they did at all. USA Today named the most overrated player on every NFL team in 2022 and for the Cleveland Browns, Jadeveon Clowney was given this unwanted distinction. Jordan McNamara: Malcom Brown drew the starter role in the first preseason game, and the team has shown the willingness to change starters against conventional wisdom when Gaskin was a surprise starter in Week 1. Given Russell Wilson's historical propensity to score rushing touchdowns in goal-line situations, it's hard to get overly excited about Williams, particularly in PPR formats. Links to similar discussions on other positions: The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. The 49ers traded up to draft Trey Sermon, they brought in Wayne Gallman as a free agent, and Jeff Wilson is still around. In addition, teammate Gus Edwards just signed a two-year, $10M contract extension in June, so he isnt going anywhere any time soon. Emmitt Smith 4. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. Jim Brown Jim Brown spent a little less than a decade playing for the Cleveland Browns between 1957 and 1965, but that was enough time to prove he's likely the greatest running back to ever play the game and one of the greatest NFL players of all time. Jordan McNamara: Javonte Williams got a major bump in value in the offseason when Melvin Gordon III was a free agent. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB13. David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals. Phil Alexander: Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. He and Ameer Abdullah -- who played over Kenyan Drake in the first preseason game -- could take away tons of receiving work, while White is capable of obtaining shots around the goal line. Williams can still be a great producer, but at his ADP, I won't be drafting him when he isn't getting the bulk of the touches. Drafting Jacobs around this price is drafting him at his ceiling -- perhaps even above it. But regardless of quarterback, Kamara is unlikely to return to his 80 reception ways. While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. The investment in veteran wideout Sammy Watkins and rookies Rashod Bateman and Tylan Wallace almost cements Dobbinss capped upside in the passing game. And free-agent acquisitions Mark Ingram II and Rex Burkhead didnt even play. by | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers I think this is pretty unfair to call him the most overrated. His career marks are high because he played long (13 yrs) and was consistent. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league over that finishing stretch to put up those huge numbers. Take a chance on a committee back in the same range who might emerge into a starter or become one due to injury. The team added Brian Robinson Jr Jr. on day two of the draft while retaining J.D. Detroit signed Jamaal Williams to take the heavy work and kicked the tires on Todd Gurley before declining his addition. Tevin Coleman was specifically brought in because he knows the run-blocking schemes the Jets will employ this year, and Ty Johnson hasn't gone anywhere either. Bursting onto the scene in our list is Micah Richards. He was a liability during pass plays because of his inability to catch passes. In no way am I saying Bettis should not be a hall of famer. . And while Johnson sits atop the Houston depth chart, Phillip Lindsay, Mark Ingram II, and perhaps Rex Burkhead will factor in as well. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup As a rookie, Montgomery was a disappointment, averaging just 10.7 fantasy points per game. James Brimacombe: I view Melvin Gordon III this season a lot like I viewed Leonard Fournette in Jacksonville last offseason. Got the exact same number of carries as Williams. Overrated David Boston -- WR, 1999-02 Boston was a former first-round pick by the Cardinals who had an epic Pro Bowl /All-Pro season in 2001 when he caught 98 passes for nearly 1,600 yards and. But so far, there is nothing to suggest that it is, and all three running backs are likely to play plenty. What follows are some of the most notable BackCAST projections for the running back prospects available in the 2022 NFL draft, along with two overrated back based on this model: ESPN + David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB27 | Consensus Projections RB31. Gaskin is an easy fade at his current price. His production waned down the stretch in Carolina last year, and when was the last time we cared about an Atlanta running back in fantasy football anyway? Add in the fact that offense is unlikely to provide as many goal-line chances as the other high-end RB1s, and Kamara has plenty of factors going against him. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. The Silence of the Lambs (1991) - Director: Jonathan Demme. His ADP has not shot up the draft boards as quickly as he propelled into fantasy relevance last year due to the almost non-existent target share he received in the passing game. Chad Parsons: Malcolm Brown looks, at a minimum, like a strong 1B option but did get the start and most of the snaps with Tua Tagovailoa with the first team in the initial preseason game. If Gordon's injury is extended, Williams could be appropriately priced, but until there is more information, he is an avoid at cost. Chad Parsons: The price has vaulted up on Javonte Williams after a quality rookie season. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB11. Even if Winston wins the competition and keeps the New Orleans passing game afloat, Kamara will have a hard time repeating last year's 21 total touchdowns. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. That role may not disappear completely, but the addition of Gio Bernard is a bad sign for Tampa Bay's intentions with Fournette. The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. Andrew Davenport: I've had ample opportunities to draft Gaskin and just haven't been able to do it. Here's our list of the greatest 30 running backs in NFL history. I feel like most drafting Gordon right now are doing it on name value, but he now has plenty of competition with Javonte Williams and Mike Boone as priority adds this offseason. Jan 26 . Back up Share project Close 2022 hyundai sonata limited interior; what is birkenstock oiled leather; bates high gloss duty oxford; most overrated running backs of all time. During the next few weeks, we here at NFL.com will unveil our Most Underrated and Overrated Players of All Time for all 32 teams and allow users to determine their choices as well.. He showed elite promise in his rookie year and followed it up with a top 10 season despite a high ankle sprain limiting his ascension. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look . Aaron Jones, Green Bay | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB6. There are some people who will say he was the most overrated running back in history because he was 1-5 in the playoffs, and he never won a Super . Downing, USA Today Sports. John Riggins 19. But now in the NFL, he is removed from passing down work in favor of J.D. His primary use has been as an excellent pass-catching back. So as we can see, Bettis had about the 9th best run blocking offensive line in the NFL during his career. Brady is known for being the only quarterback in history to win 7 Super Bowls, and is often considered one of the best quarterbacks of all time. "The Philadelphia Story," on the other hand, was a comedy, a genre not often seen as Best Picture worthy. Matt Waldman: Gaskin displayed underrated skills last year and has become a favorite sleeper in the fantasy community. Melvin Gordon III, Denver | Consensus Rankings RB29 | Consensus Projections RB28. Chad Parsons: It's a crowded Jets depth chart, and assuming Carter rises to the top of a collection of similar profiles is overstated with his draft valuation. Notre Dame's Kyren Williams was one of them and Georgia's James Cook was the other player named. They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. Victoria Geary: Sanders has talent and breakaway ability, but he may not garner a large enough workload to be worth his ADP this season. Ben Cummins: Henrys past two monster years were with offensive coordinator Arthur Smith, the head coach in Atlanta. This NFL season, which isn't even over yet, 5 running backs have already rushed for more yards and 16 have more touchdowns. Gordon's arrow is pointing down for 2021, and he could be marginalized as the season goes on because the team also likes free agent signing Mike Boone. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. Mike Davis, Atlanta | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB23. Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. Single 54 touchdowns. Nobody should ever try to run like Barry Sanders, because they will never be Barry Sanders. The 39 Most Overrated Bands Of All-Time While they might have some catchy tunes, some bands are really overrated. Barry Sanders 3. The Commanders made it a priority of theirs to bring back J.D. The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. The notorious "Frankenstein" graphic did him no favors. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. History has shown us that Harris's ADP will likely move into Round 2 or 3 as the next few months pass. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Swift relied heavily on touchdown production for his fantasy numbers. Yes, but it doesn't feel like he'll be a top-10 type of running back, even in the Chiefs' potent offense. Sigmund Bloom: Jacobs' ADP would be justified and reasonable if the Raiders hadn't added Kenyan Drake, but they did. Even the best backs need help, and Harris is less likely to have consistent holes to run through than any of the backs going around him. I believe he should be elected because he was able to maintain a good level of consistency throughout his 13 years. There is no upside with drafting Gaskin this high. Here is the player who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. Finally, Sanders has continued fumbling and dropping passes in camp -- problems that plagued him last season. Barkley is a workhorse. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his current ADP of RB13 and 20th overall. Vegas used other backs last year and pigeonholed Jacobs as a two-down grinder. Backs who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage are going after Chubb. If Robinson claims goal line work, there is an upward battle for returning a value in his ADP. Anthony Amico: Dobbins is being drafted as if he has a far greater stranglehold on this Ravens backfield than he likely will. His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. Expect some early-season force-feeding of Etienne until there's a realization that the usage is predictable and inefficient. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. Jeff Haseley: Josh McDaniels' history of using multiple running backs in his offense is enough to be concerned about Josh Jacobs not having a full-time role as the lead back for the Raiders. They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. Lets take a look at the average Jerome Bettis season: 277 carries, 1051 yards, 3.9 YPC, 7 TDs. Ben Cummins: I dont want much to do with the Texans at all this season. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. Jason Wood: Preseason depth charts aren't perfectly predictive, but the new Texans coaching staff clearly sent a message listing Johnson as the No. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. Even if the split is swapped with Williams as the slight 1A to Gordon's now 1B, achieving a top-12 result will hinge on Gordon missing a chunk of the season. In 2019, the Lions tried to steal him away with a restricted free agent offer. Unfortunately, Dobbins is on a team with an elite rushing quarterback in Lamar Jackson, who will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. History and time have helped make Perry one of the most overrated defensive players of all time. 21 RB Sleepers. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Ten different running backs had more targets alone than the entire Ravens backfield in 2020. Lynn will also rely on the hot hand approach - and Swift is more likely to run hot than Williams - but how often will this offense and team play well enough to give Swift a favorable game script. The current regime did not select Robinson. I can't see Mostert getting enough work to justify his current ADP. Kudos to James Robinson. Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were both chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). Quarterback Lamar Jackson will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. Gaskin has missed long periods through injury in his first two seasons in the league. Swift has already broken the injury seal with a groin issue in camp, and Jamaal Williams has already been spoken of highly as a potential 1A to Swift's No. DYAR: 96 DVOA: 0.085% His average DYAR of 96 would rank him 24th in the NFL in 2009, right ahead of Laurence Maroney. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. McDaniels is someone who deploys multiple backs throughout the course of the game. Sigmund Bloom: One year after the signing of Gordon indicated a lack of faith in Phillip Lindsay -- that bore out with Lindsay being allowed to leave in free agency this offseason -- the Broncos moved up in the second round to take Javonte Williams, indicating a lack of faith in Gordon. McKissic, one the league's better pass-catching backs. Expect a more even split in touches than many are forecasting and potentially for Brown to earn the lead role. There's too much risk to draft him as an ever-week starter. If Johnson is the starter, he is probably a value where he is being drafted, but I'm not taking him at his current cost without some reassuring news about his role in the coming weeks. Jamal Lewis-- RB, 2000-06 There have been seven running backs who have rushed for 2,000 yards in a season, and Jamal Lewis is by far the least memorable of the bunch. Compared to Jim Brown (5.2 YPC), Larry Csonka (4.3 YPC), and Earl Campbell (4.3 YPC). However, James Robinson is a better runner than Etienne at this point. The Top Ten. 1. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB22. Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the players mentioned and the reasons why. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY = adjusted line yards, PSR = power success rank, SR = stuff ranking Average ADY: 4.29 Average PSR: 11th Average SR: 9th * These stats werent kept until 1996, so this doesnt include Bettis first 3 years in the NFL. Barkley could hit on pure talent and above-average recuperative ability, but everything else is going against him to return value on his lofty ADP. Barry Sanders - 15, averaged one 50-plus-yard TD every 204 carries. Andrew Davenport: Fournette's production in the playoffs was artificially inflated by the injury to Ronald Jones II, and part of Fournette's regular-season fantasy production last year was due to his pass-catching role. Dave Kluge: To close out the 2020 season, Cam Akers saw 21, 29, 15, and 21 carries over his last four games. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. Ronaldinho is also one of the finest players of all time and the global icon dazzled with his Brazilian flair for across Europe, most notably for Barcelona and AC Milan. Barring an injury to Chubb, Hunt will drive you crazy trying to figure out when to start him as anything other than a flex option. Taysom Hill had nine carries from inside the opponent's five-yard line to Kamara's 15 in 2021 and won't be removed from the Saints' red-zone plans any time soon. And was brought back by a new staff that keeps saying he will be a significant part of the offense. Chase Edmonds, Arizona | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB23. Never a good idea. There's just not enough upside here to justify taking Johnson anywhere near his ADP and no expectation of consistency in Johnson's usage or the Texans' ability to move the ball week to week. We've seen running backs repeatedly return from severe knee injuries; very seldom do they return the following year and have a memorable fantasy season. This was largely in line with his previous year's number of 10.7 per game, allowing him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. Daniel Jones was one of the most uninspiring quarterbacks in the league last year. Take Carter later as a committee back with some possible upside, but he's being overvalued by drafters right now. 15 Best Running Backs of All-Time; To point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. 5. Crimson Tide skill players have been pretty good coming into the NFL recently, and Robinson's early start to camp has been generating buzz. only site on the planet. Chad Parsons: McKissic is priced reasonably with an implied drop in targets. In 2019, his last full season, Cohen averaged 5.8 yards per catch and 4.4 yards per target -- terrible numbers for a third-down back. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. In five games without Mark Ingram II in 2020, Dobbins only out-carried Gus Edwards 13 to 11.6. Sigmund Bloom: Swift is surely more likely than Jamaal Williams to be the hot hand in the Detroit backfield, but Swift's ADP is too high for any back that has to rely on the hot hand approach to get the majority of the volume in the backfield. He made general managers look like geniuses with more than 2,000 total yards and 20 touchdowns in 2016. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB20. O.J. Jonathan Morris: Gibson was already someone I was worried about getting enough volume to be drafted at his current ADP.